If you have been betting hockey this year, you noticed that OVERs were cashing in a ridiculous rate from the early going. That trend has levelled off as most teams appear to have discovered their bearings. Even the Philadelphia Flyers, however, have not.
They have cashed 11 OVERs in their 16 games and have just two UNDERs. Their games have had by far the maximum average of complete goals as they have scored the second-most in the league and are tied with the Calgary Flames for permitting the maximum.
If you had chucked $100 on each Flyers’ OVER this season, it would’ve profited you exactly seven $100 bills but watch out for high complete matchups as I’ve even cashed a few complete props of OVER 6.5 as well as an OVER 7.5 when they played the Leafs past Friday.
I do not anticipate this trend changing much. Their goaltending and defense are awful, and they just lost Michal Neuvirth for an extended period and were forced to call up Anthony Stolarz from Lehigh Valley in the AHL. Furthermore, they play in the highest-scoring branch in hockey and the Flyers can flat out score.
A surprising trend within the OVER trend is that the O/U is 10-2 if Philly’s matches have closed with a total of 5.5 and can be 1-1-2 when they have closed at 5. This means is that if the Flyers are getting totals of 5.5, Vegas is pretty damn sure their games are going to get goals.
I suggest riding this OVER if the total is 5.5 or the Flyers are up against any group in the bottom half in goals given up per game.
With that advice, you will want to consider that OVER when they go up from the Winnipeg Jets on Thursday. The Jets have given up the fifth-most aims in the league and with both teams’ offenses clicking, we could see a replica of the game in 2011 that led to a 9-8 Jets’ win.
Maybe keep on the watch for your ol’ OVER 16.5. I am naturally kidding but I will be creating a big wager on the OVER 5.5 and I shall be on the watch for props offering bigger totals.
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